In detail
- "Returns on intuition" are now higher: experienced researchers previously needed large teams; Claude now does that alone.
- Companies are specifically seeking "senior intuition" and skipping entry-level hires.
- Clark expects a paradoxical scenario: above-trend GDP growth combined with unemployment rates seen only in recessions.
- No government is prepared for this, Clark says.
Why it matters
This is a structural warning signal: AI multiplies the productivity of top talent while automating entry-level work simultaneously. For German SMEs, this means skills shortages may manifest differently – not as a lack of heads, but as a lack of entry positions to build expertise.
For you Rethink your talent development strategy: how do you grow junior talent when AI shortens their learning curve or automates their entry jobs?